An Ernest Opinion2022-09-13T15:56:25-04:00

An Ernest Opinion is a blog written by Ernest Wong, Head, Research at Baskin Wealth Management. In it, he will provide thoughts on North American markets and companies with a focus on the business strategy and management quality. Baskin Wealth Management may or may not own these stocks and he will avoid the valuation aspect of the business and will not be providing any investment recommendations. We hope you will find it interesting.

The bottom line for big tech

By |November 2nd, 2022|

The recent underperformance of the so-called “FAANG” stocks has led some investors to question whether a strategy of owning these large technology companies remains sound. Ernest outlines why the long term prospects for these companies remains attractive.

Creating value in volatile markets

By |September 27th, 2022|

Amidst the market volatility, investors sometimes forget that stocks and bonds fundamentally represent sources of capital for business operations. When capital is plentiful and prices are high, it is cheap for companies to invest in growth to open new stores, spend on marketing, hire employees, and make acquisitions by issuing new equity or cheap debt.

Costco’s true moat

By |August 18th, 2022|

If you ask investors why Costco is so dominant, you will likely get answers such as low prices, strong cost control, consumer-friendly returns practices, membership program, and cheap gas, hot dogs, and rotisserie chicken.

Have growth stocks bottomed?

By |May 5th, 2022|

A notable feature of the current stock market decline is how disproportionately growth stocks have been impacted. The S&P 500 is down only about 12% year-to-date, while the technology-focused NASDAQ is down about 18%. Apart from Energy (+41%), the top performing sectors are low-growth, dividend-heavy Consumer Staples, and Utilities stocks. This result is not too surprising as high-growth stocks are more impacted by rising interest rates than low-growth stocks.

What to do about inflation

By |April 5th, 2022|

By now, there is unanimous consensus that inflation is happening and that it is not as transitory as once thought. I normally don't spend time thinking about macroeconomic issues such as future inflation since it is difficult to not only forecast such factors accurately, but even more importantly, have a correct non-consensus macro view that adds value. This is why our investment strategy focuses on company-specific factors such as business quality and capital allocation and why we often say, “We own individual companies, not the market”.

Why we don’t invest in oil stocks

By |March 9th, 2022|

Given the current oil price environment particularly with the geopolitical issues in Russia and Ukraine, it is natural to ask questions about whether an investor should buy energy producers.

What’s wrong with COVID winners?

By |February 15th, 2022|

An interesting phenomenon about the recent bear market is that it is not uniform. The S&P 500 is down 8% since January 1, 2022, while the technology-heavy NASDAQ Composite is down 12.5% and funds focused on disruptive companies such as the ARK Innovation ETF are down well over 20%. Many “COVID winners” such as Netflix and Peloton that experienced a surge in demand due to global lockdowns have now underperformed the S&P 500 in the two years since the COVID crisis began while others such as Zoom, Shopify, and Roblox are down over 60% from their all-time highs. This is a puzzling result since there is little doubt that these companies had benefitted from COVID and are larger today than they would otherwise be.

4 thoughts on investing in a falling market

By |January 18th, 2022|

Given the sharp decline in share prices of certain sectors to start the year, particularly among shares of smaller, more speculative technology firms, it is a natural question to ask how an investor should react in such markets. This blog will explore some of my thoughts about behaving in these markets.

Go to Top